8 Comments
User's avatar
Robbin Warner's avatar

Can't wait to see Tom Bonier talk about early voting numbers on the Friday Power Lunch today at 12pm ET. Here's the link to register https://tinyurl.com/2024fpl

Expand full comment
Stevens's avatar

Just reading elsewhere from a smart source (@nevbear1 at Threads) that number of Republicans who will vote for Harris - "crossover" voters will hit a record high (and have seen some forecasts that 9% of GOP will not vote for Trump).

IF that's the case, I'm less worried that the GOP has "closed the gap" on early voting. And I think that lessens their election day turnout. Still a vote is still a vote, regardless of when it's cast.

Thoughts?

Expand full comment
Network NOVA's avatar

Join us on the Friday Power Lunch today: https://tinyurl.com/2024fpl

Expand full comment
Network NOVA's avatar

I hope so - who's got the data on that @Tom Bonier?

Expand full comment
Stevens's avatar

Probably not as nobody will know until the votes are actually tallied. But there has been some polling: https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-winning-republicans-pennsylvania-1970137

a 12% republican defection rate in PA?

Expand full comment
Kris's avatar

This is what I’m thinking - the Rs think all those votes are for T, and a certain percentage are Rs for Harris. I also think that number could be in double digits, and the other/unaffiliated mostly break for Harris. The magics in the margins.

Expand full comment
Mystery mom's avatar

I notice that early voting statistics report party affiliation but doesn’t asterisk this with the fact that you cannot tell how someone voted - they may have voted against there party affiliation

Expand full comment
Network NOVA's avatar

Learn more - Join us on the #FridayPowerLunch today! https://tinyurl.com/2024fpl

Expand full comment